Saitabao Ole Kanchory, who served as the former presidential chief agent of Raila Odinga in the 2022 election, has unleashed a significant political revelation.
Kanchory posted on X on Sunday, November 30, 2025, stating that it is now clear President William Ruto’s popularity has ended.
In contrast, he contended that in Kenya, popularity is not a decisive factor in election outcomes.
In his view, the country’s electoral system has been compromised for years and remains susceptible to attacks.
William Ruto is undoubtedly the most unpopular president in the history of Kenya. Our politics isn’t a popularity contest, in part because electoral fraud has been dealt with. The outcome is determined by numerical skill, with the victor being the player who competes effectively with numbers. It’s that simple, everything else is just hot air, he wrote.
He also expressed regret over Kenya’s weakened electoral institutions, drawing a comparison between the present system and the one that managed the 2002 transition.
“He noted that even Moi, who had never claimed to be a democrat, had established an independent electoral commission in 2002, a move made before electoral integrity was enshrined in the constitution in 2010.”
Kanchory concluded by expressing incredulity that anyone believes President Ruto can be defeated in the 2027 ballot following allegations he controls the electoral commission.
Ruto’s control over IEBC still leaves many surprised that people think they can outdo him.
By-elections aftermath
Just days after President Ruto’s United Democratic Alliance Party and Kenya Kwanza allies secured significant wins in a series of mini elections held nationwide.
The ruling coalition secured key victories from Mbeere North to Kasipul, Malava, Banisa, Magarini and the Baringo Senatorial seat, solidifying its control before the 2027 election.
The clean sweep has given Kenya Kwanza leaders the confidence to see 2027 as theirs to lose. According to analysts, Ruto’s by-election wins, combined with the fractured state of the opposition, have granted him a significant initial advantage.
Kanchory’s admission contributes to the increasingly contentious discussion about whether the opposition is poised for 2027 or whether internal divisions and a lack of electoral strategy could make it easy for the President to secure a second term.
His statement has already provoked reactions across the political spectrum, with his detractors accusing him of undermining the opposition, whereas his supporters argue that he is merely stating harsh realities about Kenya’s electoral climate.
