Political activist and civic educator Morara Kebaso has suggested that PLP leader Martha Karua may soon depart from the United Opposition. In an interview on the Iko Nini Podcast, aired on Saturday, January 25, 2026, Morara forecasted potential fractures within the coalition as the 2027 elections approach.
Having previously been part of the United Opposition and participated in various strategic meetings, Morara asserted that the coalition prioritizes its own interests over the pressing issues facing Kenyans. He pointed out that to effectively represent the opposition, one must have strong community backing—an element he believes Karua may currently lack.
Morara elaborated that as the coalition solidifies, questions will arise regarding her contributions. He expressed skepticism about Karua’s reliance on women’s support, contending that voting patterns do not strictly adhere to gender lines. This, he warned, could compel Karua to reconsider her position within the opposition.
“Martha Karua might soon find the United Opposition unsustainable, as the conversation will shift to the critical question: ‘How many votes can you secure from your community?’” Morara stated.
He drew parallels to business mogul Jimmy Wanjigi, who once appeared aligned with the coalition but ultimately distanced himself, suggesting that Karua may follow suit. “The United Opposition dismisses the notion of relying solely on women’s support; this dismissal could lead her to exit, just as Wanjigi did,” he noted.
Morara also forecasted a significant departure of other coalition leaders, citing their potential disillusionment when confronted with the reality of insufficient voter support. This exodus, he argued, would leave the opposition weakened and provide President William Ruto—whom they aim to challenge in 2027—with a clearer path.
As the United Opposition strategizes for the upcoming election, Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka has announced plans to select a presidential candidate by the first quarter of 2027, allowing Kenyans time to become familiar with their leader. However, this move has faced criticism from Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP) leader Rigathi Gachagua, who cautioned against premature announcements that could expose the opposition to state intimidation. President Ruto has further undermined the coalition, characterizing it as lacking a substantive agenda and relying solely on rhetoric.
