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15 billion trees by 2030: A realistic goal for Kenya?

By Adolf Bruno

The ambitious target of planting 15 billion trees by 2030 has been met with skepticism by some, who view it as unachievable and unrealistic.

However, let’s break it down: 2.5 billion trees annually in a country of over 50 million people translates to just 30 trees per person per year. Couldn’t each of us plant and nurture 50 trees yearly?

One innovative initiative that could drive this effort is the “Plant Your Age” campaign, observed every September 14th. Imagine every Kenyan planting trees equivalent to their age and ensuring those trees grow to maturity. With Kenya’s youth—vibrant and energetic—making up 20.3% of the population, according to the latest demographic survey, this group could play a pivotal role. The average age of Kenyan youth is 19.6 years, meaning each young person could plant at least 20 trees annually, potentially even surpassing their age. The elderly, too, can contribute significantly, leveraging their wisdom and experience to nurture trees.

Government policies and programs are also critical to achieving this goal. For instance, the 2018 ban on charcoal production and the 2017 restrictions on reckless tree felling have helped curb deforestation. However, more can be done. Laws based on knowledge rather than mere compliance should be enacted. For example, a regulation requiring residential properties to maintain 30% tree cover, enforced by local leaders like chiefs, could make a substantial impact. Cumulatively, these small efforts could contribute significantly to the national target of 30% tree cover.

Thorough research and reconnaissance are equally essential. The Kenya Forest Service, in collaboration with the Kenya Forestry Research Institute, should identify areas suitable for tree planting based on climatic conditions and soil types. This would ensure the right tree species are planted in the right locations, maximizing survival rates and ecological benefits.

Public education and awareness are also crucial. Local climate action groups, organizations, and the government can use platforms like public barazas, social gatherings, and national holidays to educate citizens on the importance of tree planting and proper tree care. Knowledge is power, and empowering individuals with the right information can turn them into agents of change.

Leadership alignment is another key factor. Change must start at the top and trickle down to every citizen. I commend His Excellency Dr. William Ruto for leading by example. On his 56th birthday, he participated in a tree-planting exercise, following in the footsteps of the late President Mwai Kibaki, who did the same on his 81st birthday. Such actions by leaders inspire the nation and demonstrate commitment to the cause.

Finally, partnerships are vital. Collaboration between the Ministry of Environment, Climate Change, and Forestry, county governments, international bodies like the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, and organizations such as Advocacy for Ecological Sustainability, Global Peace Foundation, and Kenya Green Building Society will be essential. With a unified effort, the dream of 15 billion trees by 2030 can become a reality.

In conclusion, while the target is ambitious, it is not unattainable. With collective effort, strategic planning, and unwavering commitment, Kenya can achieve this monumental goal and secure a greener future for generations to come.

Adolf Bruno is an advocate for environmental sustainability and a passionate writer on climate action. This opinion piece was first published on Nyanza Daily.

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